Edward J. Ruppelt was a United States Air Force officer who was involved in three successive American Unidentified Flying Object (UFO) investigation efforts, ultimately serving as the first leader of Project Blue Book.1 He was privy to the investigations of Project Sign,2 and later said he had seen a highly classified 1948 Project Sign report, the Estimate of the Situation (1948), which investigated flying saucer sightings.3 Ruppelt said that report concluded the best explanation for the phenomenon was that the craft were extra-terrestrial.4 He also said Project SAUCER was the informal name of Project Sign and that it had been designated a high priority.5
In late October 1951, the United States Air Force (USAF)’s UFO mission was reorganised into a new programme, again named Project GRUDGE (Reestablishment), led by Ruppelt, following the disestablishment of the original Project GRUDGE (Original Organization).6 Ruppelt said he sought to correct the mistakes of Project Sign and the former Project GRUDGE.7 His primary goal for the reestablished programme was to ensure there would be “no wild speculation”, and he intended that staff who were “too pro or too con” regarding the off-world origin of UFOs would be let go.8 He later said there had been a widespread view that Project GRUDGE had been operating under a directive to debunk all sightings.9 Ruppelt said he fired three staff members from the programme.10
To support the reestablished programme, Ruppelt sourced a range of scientific expertise through a contract he dubbed Project BEAR,11 created with the Battelle Memorial Institute (BMI) to provide scientific support.12 He set a policy intended to foster objectivity,13 and, unlike the previous Project GRUDGE, allowed his staff to create an “unknown” category for cases, which he hoped would discourage forcing a particular answer.14 Ruppelt noted concentrations of UFO sighting cases in the USA, New Mexico, Los Alamos-Albuquerque area, USA, Tennessee, Oak Ridge, USA, New Mexico, White Sands, Strategic Air Command locations, ports, and industrial sites.15
Ruppelt went on to head Project Blue Book’s UAP investigations,16 serving as its first director17 after leading the reorganised Project GRUDGE.18 Writing later, he said he had been expected to explain away every report and that the USAF sought to produce press stories in line with its official position.19 He noted that the inability to determine a UFO’s altitude, size, and speed was a recurring and significant obstacle to resolving cases,20 and observed that spikes in reported UFO sightings tended to follow official press events mentioning UFOs, suggesting that publicised reports could influence the incidence of further reports.21
Ruppelt said that all but a couple of copies of the Estimate of the Situation had been destroyed.22 The All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) has been unable to verify this claim or to locate the document.23